Sunday, August 29, 2021

India must not engage with Pakistan and China backed Taliban, contrary to the expectation of Taliban-sympathisers and flagbearers of Islamophobia



Afghanistan has crumbled. The world has witnessed in the last few weeks a haunting spectacle of a nation succumbing to the idea of the Islamic caliphate. 


Disturbing images of desperate Afghans scrambling to board airplanes after thronging the Kabul airport to flee the country - with a number of them falling to death after latching on to the wings, wheels, or whatever they could of a flying plane - will remain etched in people’s memories for a long time. These incredibly tumultuous visuals have defined the dramatic taking over of Afghanistan by the Taliban forces. 



image source : nytimes.com



Left to fend for itself by its government led by President Ashraf Ghani who eloped overnight as well as the United States after twenty long years of American military presence and that of the allied troops on the Afghan soil, the country now looks down the barrel of dictatorship by a dreaded extremist outfit. How long will the Talibani supremacy reign again in Afghanistan after it was ousted in 2001 following the American invasion of Afghanistan post the 9/11 terror attack is anyone’s guess.


Taliban 2.0 that is - media savvy, does press conferences, congratulates journalists for their coverage of Taliban’s regaining of control over Afghanistan and assures Afghani women of the protection of their rights under the ambit of the Islamic Sharia law - may have cajoled some into thinking that the attitude of the Taliban of 2021 is a marked departure from how it was two decades ago before the commencement of America’s so-called war against terror. 


But history testifies that moderate gestures displayed by dictators - especially those having hardcore religious extremism at the core of their ideology - are only a facade and is only a matter of time before everything goes back to square one as the iron fist slowly withdraws from the velvet glove. 



image source : politico.eu



Already there are footages galore doing the rounds on news channels and social media of Taliban spray-painting images of women pasted on the entrances and walls of showrooms, salons etc. There are unconfirmed reports of Afghan girls being forcibly married to Taliban fighters. The Hazara community, the third-largest ethnic group in Afghanistan belonging to the Shia community, which has faced persecution for decades fears for an escalation in atrocities against it with the Taliban’s advent to power. In the wake of such developments and apprehensions, it is hard to imagine Afghan people, especially women, breathing the air of freedom till the Islamic fanatics continue to hold the reigns of Afghanistan. 


The fact of the matter is that the US under President Joe Biden massively goofed up by pulling its troops out of Afghanistan in the reckless manner that it did, following the US-Taliban peace deal that was signed last year under the then American President Donald Trump. Consequently, Afghanistan is in shambles. More than 180 people, including US marines and soldiers, lost their lives after multiple bomb blasts rocked the Kabul airport last week.


US may have tried to do face-saving by launching attacks on ISIS-K but the damage is done. Furthermore, the new narrative in the US of portraying the Taliban as the lesser evil compared to the other terrorist groups is only a feeble attempt at defending its unthoughtful withdrawal from Afghanistan after two decades. 


The appalling decision-making of the US and its allies has left Afghanistan in a giant mess and it will have global repercussions sooner or later. Regional countries, especially India, will encounter greater security concerns than in the past. 





Lobby's fondness for the Taliban



Here in India, there has been a multitude of astonishing reactions to the Afghan turmoil, yet none more hilarious than those emanating from the country’s anti-Modi political fraternity and the pseudo-secular lobby. 



image source : scroll.in



While the International community is perplexed as to how it must approach the rather inevitable threats to world peace that arise from the Taliban’s resurrected control over Afghanistan and its connections with the more robust terrorist organisations in terms of global reputation, self-proclaimed left-leaning secular experts of international relations have already started batting for India’s engagement with the new Afghan administration in the form of Taliban. 


On the other hand, the world’s ostensibly true liberal and secular nations such as Canada and the European Union have declared that they will not recognise the Taliban as the Afghan government, thereby leaving no room for diplomatic relations with the Taliban-ruled Afghanistan. Therefore, the Taliban sympathisers in India asking for the Modi government’s engagement with the new Afghanistan regime is nothing but absurd. 





Pakistan and China’s patronage for Taliban - a security threat for India 




Taliban shares a history of ideological understanding and strategic collaboration with Pakistan in matters of terror and religious extremism. In fact, the Taliban traces its roots right back to Pakistan where the seeds of its birth were sown much before it made its presence felt big time in Afghanistan in the early 90s. 


For several years the Pakistani Army and the ISI have had strong links with the Haqqani network, one of the biggest terrorist organisations in Afghanistan that originated as a front against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan in the 80s and has been behind dozens of terror activities across Afghanistan since 2001. Sirajuddin Haqqani, the Haqqani network founder Jalaluddin Haqqani’s son and the current chief of the organisation, also happens to be the Afghan Taliban’s deputy leader. In such an intertwined scenario wherein Pakistan is a common denominator, how things pan out in Afghanistan from here on will have so much to do with Pakistan playing a silent yet critical role behind the scenes.  



image source : dw.com



On the other hand, China recently criticised the US and its allies for mulling economic sanctions against the Taliban. This came on the back of the US freezing a sum of about $9.5 billion in assets belonging to the Afghan central bank and halting cash shipments to the Taliban-ruled nation. Moreover, Beijing has already declared its intentions to pursue a friendly Taliban policy. 


As conspicuous as it is, two of India’s bitterest foes - Pakistan along the eastern border and China along the western border - are hand in glove with the Taliban. What this means in the context of India’s national security is the easiest of all guesses. 


But to cater to its vested interests, the lobby even entertains the idea of imperilling India’s security situation. The flagbearers of Islamophobia in India and those trying to make a case for the recognition of Taliban as the formal Afghan administration by the Indian government, who constitute a significant section of the pseudo-secular and the pseudo-liberal gang, want India to yield to a possible sinister plot hatched by Pakistan in collaboration with Taliban to destabilise India. Kashmir can be assumed to be an obvious target.  

Wednesday, August 4, 2021

J&K’s new political order could end decades of political discrimination against Jammu while allowing BJP to recover lost ground in the region


Joined at the hip, historically and culturally, but one discriminated against for years and years while the other prioritised and appeased purely for the sake of wretched political and strategic gains. That is Jammu and Kashmir for you. 


There are a plethora of distinct ways to briefly describe the starkest political realities of J&K in the context of a conspicuous bias against the Jammu division that remained unchecked for decades with Kashmir holding an unfair political advantage over Jammu. 


The abrogation of Article 370 & 35A and the bifurcation of the erstwhile state of J&K in August 2019 took Ladakh out of the equation - a region of the former J&K whose story of discrimination is worse than that of Jammu’s. Ladakh is a comprehensive case study in itself - a task for another day. 


This piece focuses on Jammu and highlights the fact that in the era of Naya Jammu and Kashmir the tide has turned. Undoing the dubious precedents of the past that marred Jammu’s fate has emerged as one of the topmost priorities for the Modi government. At least one can hope so. 



image source : prabhasakshi.com

The developments of recent months that have marked the revival of electoral politics in J&K after a long hiatus promise big things in store for Jammu. Unlike ever in the past, the region is refreshingly being seen as a beneficiary in the new scheme of things. 


From the setting up of the Delimitation Commission in March 2020 to the taking place of the district development council (DDC) elections in late November 2020, the first major electoral exercise since Article 370, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s meeting with the political class of J&K recently in June 2021- the democratic fabric of Jammu and Kashmir has strengthened remarkably since the scrapping of its special status, albeit gradually and steadily. 


The delimitation exercise that has gained momentum lately means that Jammu is set to get a meatier chunk of the legislative assembly by virtue of having more seats added to the region compared to a relatively lower number during the days of J&K’s special status. In effect, when the assembly elections are finally held in the union territory of J&K, government formation could have a greater reliance on the electoral verdict given by the Jammu division.   


Moreover, a decisive role played by Jammu in the polls could also lead to the realisation of a scenario that was rather unimaginable until a couple of years ago - the possibility of J&K getting a Chief Minister from Jammu for the first time, putting a genuine end to what remained so far as Kashmir’s perpetual supremacy over the chair. Such a scenario would not just please Jammuites no end but also create an unprecedentedly fair condition of putting Jammu’s own representative at the helm of affairs, thereby remedying the blunders of the past to a great extent.





Jammu’s history of blatant discrimination 



While it is all very well to celebrate the start of a shining era of political propriety in J&K courtesy of the Centre’s remedial blueprint, this is also the juncture to look retrospectively and understand how there lasted for decades a systematic and methodical approach towards not treating Jammu and Kashmir as two sides of the same coin. 


On the contrary, there was a concerted endeavour in accordance with the designs of an obnoxious strategy to ensure that a step-motherly treatment at all levels was meted out to Jammu whereas Kashmir continued to be put on the frontburner. Make no mistake, preferential treatment to the valley was not extended out of a spirit of patriotism or Kashmiri nationalism by Kashmir’s political fraternity and anti-India secessionists but solely to let Kashmir grow as a cottage industry of separatism and sedition.   



image source : outlookindia.com


Those who reaped a golden harvest from this sinisterly induced dichotomy between the two divisions of the former J&K state were the political outfits such as the National Conference (NC), the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), and the like - which toed the Indian line while politicking in New Delhi and reverted to their original stance of conditional integration with India in order to cater to their vote bank in the valley. Consequently, Jammu had to be at the receiving end of this covert secessionism which cost the region dearly. 





BJP and Jammu - the reviving connect 



How things pan out for the BJP in Jammu in the new political order is a matter of much intrigue. Jammu was never a traditional bastion for the BJP. The party’s arch-rival the Congress and the regional heavyweight the NC had a far stronger influence in Jammu for a prolonged period of time than the BJP. 



image source : dnaindia.com


However, the consistent rise of Narendra Modi at a national level translated into a change of fortunes in Jammu for the BJP. Under Modi’s leadership, the BJP scored a historic mandate in the 2014 J&K legislative assembly polls by winning 25 seats in the 87 member house. It eventually led to the BJP joining hands with the PDP, marking the former’s debut as a coalition partner in the J&K government. However, the post-poll BJP-PDP alliance in J&K failed to stand the test of time as the BJP pulled out of the J&K government in June 2018. But by then the BJP’s decision to align with fringe secessionists in the form of the PDP had dented the party’s image to a certain degree in Jammu’s nationalistic circles. 


Nevertheless, the Modi government’s nationalistic move of abolishing Article 370 has somewhat recovered lost ground for the BJP in Jammu, which has quintessentially always remained a pro-India zone in sharp contrast to the turbulent and separatism ravaged Kashmir. Could this swing the pendulum in the BJP’s favour come the assembly polls in the J&K UT, only time will tell. 


These are fascinating times for Jammu and Kashmir, and one would hope for a balance to strike between the two divisions in all aspects, not just political. 












 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


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